Economy
Key Equities Investment Strategy to Consider For Optimal Profit
By Dipo Olowookere
Trading in stocks can be risky, but those who understand the market very well still make a lot of money from the ‘volatile investment.’
Knowing what equity to buy and when to sell are very key tools retail investors must be armed with or else, they will see the market as unprofitable or a scam as some people in Nigeria have insinuated because of the 2018 crisis.
As the country heads to the polls next year, governance will certainly come to a close in the third quarter of next year and foreign investors will want to quickly cash in on their investments because of fear of the unknown.
For analysts at Cowry Asset, equities investment strategy this year would be informed by macroeconomic, valuation as well as political themes.
The macroeconomic environment is expected to provide the main support for local equities in 2018 as market players anticipate further policy harmonization between monetary and fiscal authorities especially with regards to moderation of interest rates, ensuring general price level and foreign exchange stability as well as greater diversification of economic output.
“We therefore recommend a broad-based stock selection strategy to include picks from the banking, consumer goods, building materials as well as oil and gas sectors which should also provide ample portfolio diversification.
“With regards to portfolio re-balancing, we anticipate that a likely downward adjustment of interest rates should lead to the normalization of the yield curve.
“Hence, we expect portfolio managers of fixed income instruments may want to switch from holding, or go short, their short-term bonds or treasury bills to increasing the duration of their portfolios by going long the long-term bonds; or better still, they could increase investments in undervalued equities,” Cowry Asset said.
Given the positive impact of an expected improvement macroeconomic environment on the bottom line of businesses, there is an anticipation of a boost in earnings yield to investors as stocks remain undervalued in the short term.
Also, the relatively cheap valuation of the equities market, coupled with sustained stability in the foreign exchange market, therefore readily positions it for bargain-hunting institutional and retail investors.
Furthermore, the political discussions bordering on minimum wage increase as well as deregulation/ increase in petrol pump price could have positive, howbeit limited, outcomes on the stock market.
It is expected that, given the closeness of upcoming electioneering season, the proposed increase in minimum wage around the last quarter of the year is not expected to so much result in hike in inflation rate in 2018 as the increment should be largely counterbalanced by increased food supply due, in part, to the harvest season.
Also, the cost push inflation element, which hitherto had been the main driver of inflation, is expected to be further subdued. This will be good for equities in the consumer goods space as purchasing power is expected to improve.
Federal Government is not expected to increase the pump price of petrol until after the February 2019 elections; hence, prices of petroleum marketing stocks are expected to continue to trade around current levels in 2018.
However, 2018 would be an ideal time for informed bargain hunters to swoop down on shares of major names in the downstream sector at current valuations as their profit margins are expected to improve in the event of an increase in pump prices.
Economy
Domestic Stock Market Witnesses Shortfall in Weekly Activity Level
By Dipo Olowookere
The level of activity at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) shrank last week after a turnover of 4.373 billion shares worth N97.783 billion in 110,736 deals compared with the 6.617 billion shares worth N113.224 billion executed in 109,590 deals in the preceding week.
It was observed that the financial services industry led the activity chart by volume with 2.252 billion units sold for N47.204 billion in 44,808 deals, contributing 51.49 per cent and 48.27 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.
The ICT sector traded 1.118 billion equities worth N13.148 billion in 10,413 deals, and the energy segment exchanged 233.891 million stocks valued at N4.726 billion in 7,515 deals.
eTranzact, Access Holdings, and FCMB accounted for 1.921 billion shares worth N22.218 billion in 9,558 deals, contributing 43.93 per cent and 22.72 per cent to the total trading volume and value apiece.
The best-performing equity was Morison Industries with a price appreciation of 32.49 per cent to sell for N4.69, Mecure Industries expanded by 27.35 per cent to N37.95, Japaul gained 26.27 per cent to finish at N2.66, Sovereign Trust Insurance improved by 17.24 per cent to N3.40, and PZ Cussons chalked up 16.19 per cent to settle at N47.00.
On the flip side, Eterna lost 14.93 per cent to quote at N30.20, UAC Nigeria declined by 14.26 per cent to N83.00, eTranzact shed 10.00 per cent to end at N12.60, Transcorp Hotels depreciated by 9.95 per cent to N155.60, and Chellarams crumbled by 9.90 per cent to N13.20.
In the five-day trading week, 49 equities appreciated versus 55 equities a week earlier, 41 shares depreciated versus 29 share in the previous week, and 57 stocks closed flat versus 63 stocks in the preceding week.
At the close of business for the week last Friday, the All-Share Index (ASI) was up by 1.63 per cent to 149,433.26 points and the market capitalisation rose by 1.64 per cent to N95.264 trillion.
In the same vein, all other indices finished higher apart from the banking, AFR Div. Yield, MERI Growth, MERI Value, energy, sovereign bond, and commodity indices, which depreciated by 0.12 per cent, 0.75 per cent, 1.07 per cent, 0.27 per cent, 0.13 per cent, 2.02 per cent, and 0.49 per cent, respectively.
Economy
Nigeria’s Tax Sovereignty Not Affected by Deal With France—FIRS
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) has issued a statement providing further clarifications following comments and reports on the recent memorandum of understanding between Nigeria and France on taxation.
The MoU, signed on December 10, 2025, at the French Embassy in Abuja by the chairman of FIRS, Mr Zacch Adedeji and French Ambassador, Mr Marc Fonbaustier, on behalf of France’s Direction Générale des Finances Publiques (DGFiP), focuses on key areas, including digital transformation, workforce development, information exchange, transfer pricing, and tackling base erosion and profit shifting.
However, the MoU has been met with resistance from opposition coalition party African Democratic Congress (ADC) as well as Northern elders, which both raised serious questions about transparency, national sovereignty and the safety of Nigerian consumers’ data.
In response, the tax authority, which will become known as Nigerian Revenue Service (NRS) from next year, emphasised that the deal does not grant France access to Nigerian taxpayer data, digital systems, or any element of the country’s operational infrastructure.
“All existing Nigerian laws on data protection, cybersecurity, and sovereignty remain fully applicable and strictly enforced. The NRS, like its predecessor, FIRS, places the highest premium on national security and maintains rigorous standards for the protection of all taxpayer information.”
It said similar MoUs are signed by tax administrations around the world to promote collaboration, knowledge sharing, and the adoption of global best practices.
“The DGFIP is among the world’s most advanced tax authorities, with over a century of institutional experience and deep expertise in digital transformation, taxpayer services, governance, and public finance.
“This partnership simply enables Nigeria to learn from that experience. It is advisory, non-intrusive, and entirely under Nigeria’s control.
“Contrary to misconceptions, the MoU does not displace local technology providers, FIRS and the emerging Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) continue to work closely with Nigerian innovators such as NIBSS, Interswitch, Paystack, and Flutterwave. The MoU does not include the provision of technical services; it is limited to knowledge sharing, institutional strengthening, workforce development, policy support, and best-practice guidance.
“We welcome robust public engagement on tax reforms, but such conversations must reflect the actual content and purpose of the agreement. Rather than undermining Nigeria’s sovereignty, this MoU strengthens it by helping to build a modern, capable, globally competitive tax administration one firmly in command of its systems, data, and strategic direction.
“FIRS remains committed to transparency, professionalism and partnership that advance Nigeria’s long-term economic development,” it said in a statement.
Economy
Nigeria Okays 28 Firms for Gas-flaring Monetisation Project
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) has issued permits to 28 companies under Nigerian Gas Flare Commercialisation Programme (NGFCP), a scheme that aims to end routine gas flaring to cut carbon emissions and use some of the gas to generate power.
Gas flaring is the controlled burning of natural gas that is released during oil extraction. The initiative marks a major step toward ending flaring and monetising wasted gas.
The projects could capture 250 to 300 million standard cubic feet per day (mmscfd) of gas currently flared, cut about 6 million tonnes of CO₂ annually, and unlock nearly 3 gigawatts of power generation potential, an NGFCP document showed.
Nigeria expects the initiative to attract up to $2 billion in investment and create more than 100,000 jobs. It could also produce 170,000 metric tonnes of LPG annually, providing clean cooking access for 1.4 million households.
The permits follow a competitive bid round that awarded 49 flare sites to 42 bidders after the programme was restructured post-COVID-19 and the Petroleum Industry Act.
Speaking on this, Mr Gbenga Komolafe, head of the NUPRC, during the presentation of the certificates to the 28 companies said, “The NGFCP is a pillar in our quest to eliminate routine flaring, reduce emissions, and enhance Nigeria’s global credibility in energy transition commitments.”
The programme aligns with Nigeria’s Energy Transition Plan and aims to turn flare gas from an environmental liability into an economic asset.
The 28 companies have signed key agreements, including Connection, Milestone Development and Gas Sales Agreements, and now qualify for permits to access flare gas.
Producers will benefit from reduced liabilities, improved Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance and alignment with the government’s decarbonisation agenda.
Development partners, including Power Africa, KPMG, World Bank’s Global Gas Flaring Reduction initiative, USAID and financiers, have supported the programme with technical and commercial frameworks.
Mr Komolafe said while the permits mark a milestone, engineering, construction and financing must begin in earnest.
“The real work starts now,” the official added. “This programme will create economic, industrial and environmental value while strengthening Nigeria’s energy transition.”
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