Economy
GCR Affirms A-(NG) Rating on Transcorp Hotels
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
Global Credit Ratings (GCR) has revealed affirming the long term and short term national scale issuer ratings of A-(NG) and A2(NG) respectively, assigned to Transcorp Hotels Plc with the outlook accorded as Stable.
The rating firm noted that concurrently, the national scale ratings accorded to the following bond Issuances were also affirmed: Series 1 N10bn Fixed Rate Bond – A-(NG), Stable Outlook; and Series 2 N9.8bn Fixed Rate Bond – A-(NG), Stable Outlook, pointing out that both the long and short term issuer and bond ratings are valid until August 2018.
GCR, in a statement, said it accorded the above credit ratings to Transcorp Hotels Plc because it remains one of the most prominent hotel brands in the country, benefitting from strong shareholder support and an operational agreement with Hilton International.
It point out that although, earnings derive predominantly from the Abuja hotel, construction of Lagos and Port Harcourt hotels will help to diversify revenue sources over the medium term. In the interim, ongoing refurbishments to the core Abuja hotel should consolidate its leading position in the upper scale market.
The challenging operating environment in 2016 (with the economy in recession), drove a significant decline in tourism and hospitality sector volumes, which severely impacted hotel patronage across the country.
Despite this, and given the fact that some floors were shut for renovation (for a number of months), revenue remained resilient, rising by 10% to N15.3bn in FY16. This was largely attributed to the increased business development and marketing activities, which kept occupancy rates at the hotel around 60% (well above the industry average of 35%), and improved inflows from food and beverage.
However, as economic activity remained sluggish at the start of 2017, with patronage reduced by the closure of the Abuja airport for six weeks, 1H FY17 revenue of N6.2bn evidenced a 23% year-on-year decline and lagged budget on an annualised basis.
Notwithstanding the top line growth, the impact of inflation, as well as the devaluation in the Naira value, led to an increase in both direct costs and overheads (personnel, energy), partly reversing gains reported from the implementation of cost saving measures in FY15. Operating income fell to N4.1bn (FY15: N4.7bn), translating to a 26.8% margin, the lowest over the last five years. With economic challenges persisting, and a further reduction in operating income to N856m at 1H FY17, it appears unlikely that the full year profitability target will be achieved.
Cost overruns on current capex projects (including refurbishment of the Abuja hotel) necessitated additional loans to meet the shortfall in funding. As such, total debt rose by a net N3.6bn to a high N24.2bn at 1H FY17. Whilst gross gearing remained moderate at 47% at 1H FY17 (FY16: 41%), gross debt to EBITDA rose to 891% (FY16: 408%) and net interest coverage was relatively low at 1.1x in FY16.
If persisting, such low debt coverage metrics are not consistent with companies in the ‘A’ band. Despite the economic challenges, THP still reports robust operating cash flows (N1.4bn at FY16 and N2.3bn at 1H FY17), underpinned by a strong cash generation and a favourable working capital position.
However, the continued payment of high dividends amidst falling cash flows and high capex, places additional strain on liquidity.
Given that the Bonds are senior unsecured obligations of the Issuer, the Series 1 and Series 2 Bonds bear the same rating as the Issuer. Any change in the rating assigned to the Issuer will directly affect the Bonds ratings.
Positive rating action is only likely once the current capex programme is successfully completed, with minimum unexpected costs incurred, as well as an improvement in the operating environment. This should translate to improved earnings and also enhance profitability over the medium term. Conversely, persistently weak debt service metrics could result in negative ratings actions. This could be driven by continued weakness in operating performance, or delays and cost overruns related to capex.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The Debt Management Office (DMO) on Monday allotted bonds worth N929.3 billion to investors from the N1.7 trillion bids it received from subscribers.
The exercise, which took place on Monday, July 20, 2026, was oversubscribed by market participants, reflecting the confidence investors have in the government’s ability to redeem the debt instrument on maturity.
On offer for sale for the July auction was N1.2 trillion worth of the FGN bonds, but the DMO allotted below this, despite receiving bids above the offer.
The papers were offered in 10-year, 15-year, and 20-year tenors, at N400 billion each.
For the decade-old note, investors staked N444.47 billion, but the debt office sold N245.73 billion at an 18.34 per cent coupon rate. For the one and a half-decade-old paper, bids valued at N518.00 billion were received by the DMO, with a non-competitive bid of N50.00 billion, with N302.13 billion allotted to investors at 18.40 per cent, and for the two-decade paper, the DMO got competitive bids of N665.19 billion and N381.46 billion was sold to bondholders at 18.35 per cent.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr Yemi Cardoso, disclosed that Nigeria’s external reserves had risen to $52.5 billion, enough to finance about nine months of imports.
He disclosed this on Tuesday at the end of the 306th meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) held in Abuja, where the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) retained the benchmark interest rate at 26.50 per cent as well as the standing facilities corridor at +50/-450 basis points around the MPR.
Similarly, the Cash Reserve Requirement (CRR) was maintained at 45 per cent for Deposit Money Banks, 16 per cent for Merchant Banks, and 75 per cent for non-Treasury Single Account (TSA) public sector deposits.
Speaking on FX developments, the central banker said at the $52 billion level, the country’s external reserves were significantly above the internationally recommended threshold of three months of import cover.
On the Naira exchange rate, Mr Cardoso said the foreign exchange market had deepened and was now operating on a transparent willing-buyer, willing-seller basis.
He said the apex bank remained committed to maintaining a liquid and functional foreign exchange market, adding that daily market turnover sometimes exceeded $1 billion.
According to him, the long-term stability of the naira would depend on key economic fundamentals, including increased oil exports, foreign direct investment, and improved domestic productivity to reduce dependence on imports.
He also added that the MPC welcomed the federal government’s renewed commitment to stronger policy coordination, particularly collaboration between fiscal and monetary authorities, which he said had helped reduce the impact of the Middle East crisis on the Nigerian economy.
Mr Cardoso said members of the committee also commended efforts to improve crude oil production and urged relevant agencies to intensify reforms in other sectors, including solid minerals, to boost government revenue.
On the regulatory forbearance granted to banks during the COVID-19 period, he reiterated that this had been discontinued because it had served its purpose.
According to him, the policy had “outlived its time” and was no longer necessary in assessing the health of the banking sector.
“Forbearance, we felt, had outlived its time. Many of you will recall this is something that came as a result of COVID. And now we are in 2026; we did not see the reason why that should continue to form part of the analysis of the banking system,” he said.
Mr Cardoso explained that banks had begun recalibrating their portfolios following the end of the policy, leading to a temporary reduction in outstanding risk assets.
He, however, assured that the development was part of a transition towards a stronger and more sustainable credit environment.
“It reflects a transition to a more sustainable and better quality credit environment, which is what we all want. We don’t want unanticipated shocks that come in a boom-and-bust fashion,” he said.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange extended its recent positive run by 1.17 per cent on Tuesday, July 21, triggered by appreciation seen in four bellwethers.
Leading the pack was FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which added N12.00 to its value to close at N153.15 per share compared with the previous day’s N141.15 per share. NASD Plc appreciated by N1.90 to N36.00 per unit from N34.10 per unit, Food Concepts Plc improved by 23 Kobo to N2.48 per share from N2.25 per share, and Afriland Properties Plc grew by a marginal 1 Kobo to N15.01 per unit from N15.00 per unit.
As a result, the market capitalisation of the bourse increased by N30.40 billion to N2.637 trillion from Monday’s N2.606 trillion, and the NASD Security Index (NSI) gained 50.70 points to finish at 4,393.97 points, in contrast to the 4,343.27 points it ended a day earlier.
The unlisted securities exchange recorded a price loser yesterday, and it was Geo-Fluids Plc, which shed 1 Kobo to settle at N2.30 per share versus N2.31 per share.
During the trading day, the volume of securities traded by market participants on Tuesday dropped 99.4 per cent to 322,147 units from the previous day’s 52.6 million units, the value of securities dipped by 89.8 per cent to N19.4 million from the preceding session’s N191.2 million, and the number of deals contracted by 3.6 per cent to 27 deals from 28 deals.
Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc ended the day as the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units traded for N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units transacted for N6.5 billion, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc with 75.4 million units exchanged for N5.3 billion.
GNI Plc also closed the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units valued at N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units sold for N415.7 million.
