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Economy

Stocks to Watch Out For This Week

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By Meristem Research

Analysts at Meristem Research have released stocks investors to watch out for in this trading week at the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE).

“Beyond fundamental valuations, stock price movement is also tied to investor sentiments. This report seeks to envisage trends and patterns using technical analysis indicators.

“Therefore, our intention with this report is not to give stock recommendation which is largely based on fundamental analysis, but to provide an alternative perspective to the outlook of market and stock prices & volume behaviour,” Meristem Research warns.

Below are the stocks:

CILEASING

In the just concluded week, the stock gained 12.26% WoW, pushing its YtD return further into the positive territory at 138.00%.

The RSI at 72.84 indicates the ticker is currently at the overbought region.

Continued upward movement is however supported by the currently bullish candlestick and the MACD which shows positive momentum.

While it is expected that the stock may continue on its positive path for the first few trading days, a negative close is highly anticipated given the likely sell pressures to be experienced on the ticker on the last trading days.

GTBank

The ticker lost by 4.00% in the week, to close at NGN37.00 settling its year to date return at 49.80%.

The RSI at 36.13 signifies that the ticker is very close to the oversold region. However, the MACD shows increasing negative sentiments on the counter.

Also, the candle shows that there are negative sentiments on the counter.

Given that the stock is currently trading close to its 5-yr high, there might be a decline in the price of the stock at the beginning of the week.

NEIMETH

The ticker led the losers’ chart last week, shedding 15.66% to close at NGN0.70.

The RSI at 23.74 signifies that the ticker has slipped into the oversold region. The MACD however, still shows strong negative momentum the counter.

The stock appears to be nearing its 4-month support zone of NGN0.64-NGN0.68. Furthermore, the breakout from below the lower Bollinger band signals a reversal in the current bearish sentiments.

Given the significant WoW loss, speculative activities may indeed lead to an upturn in the stock’s price however the company’s weak fundamentals may weigh on any expected rebound.

Zenith Bank

Following a WoW decline of 4.25%, the ticker closed the week at NGN22.10.

The RSI at 37.45 shows that the stock is approaching the oversold region.

The bearish candlesticks show that sell pressures are still quite strong on the counter. The MACD also indicated widening negative sentiments.

It appears that the downward trend on the counter may persist for a couple of trading sessions. However, given the strong fundamentals of the company, we expect bargain hunting to ensue.

NEM Insurance

Gaining 19.00% WoW, the counter emerged as last week’s top outperformer.

Although the RSI at 69.51 signifies that the stock is on the verge of crossing into the overbought region, the stock’s price graph still shows bullish candlesticks.

Similarly, the MACD signals growing positive momentum on the ticker. The breakout above the upper Bollinger band however signals a reversal in the current buy sentiments.

It is expected that the positive momentum towards the will linger for a short while however profit-taking activities are also highly likely at or shortly before the close of the week.

Source: Meristem Research

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

Economy

Tinubu Presents N58.47trn Budget for 2026 to National Assembly

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2026 budget tinubu

By Adedapo Adesanya

President Bola Tinubu on Friday presented a budget proposal of N58.47 trillion for the 2026 fiscal year titled Budget of Consolidation, Renewed Resilience and Shared Prosperity to a joint session of the National Assembly, with capital recurrent (non‑debt) expenditure standing at 15.25 trillion, and the capital expenditure at N26.08 trillion, while the crude oil benchmark was pegged at $64.85 per barrel.

Business Post reports that the Brent crude grade currently trades around $60 per barrel. It is also expected to trade at that level or lower next year over worries about oil glut.

At the budget presentation today, Mr Tinubu said the expected total revenue for the year is N34.33 trillion, and the proposal is anchored on a crude oil production of 1.84 million barrels per day, and an exchange rate of N1,400 to the US Dollar.

In terms of sectoral allocation, defence and security took the lion’s share with N5.41 trillion, followed by infrastructure at N3.56 trillion, education received N3.52 trillion, while health received N2.48 trillion.

Addressing the lawmakers, the President described the budget proposal as not “just accounting lines”.

“They are a statement of national priorities,” the president told the gathering. “We remain firmly committed to fiscal sustainability, debt transparency, and value‑for‑money spending.”

The presentation came at a time of heightened insecurity in parts of the country, with mass abductions and other crimes making headlines.

Outlining his government’s plan to address the challenge, President Tinubu reminded the gathering that security “remains the foundation of development”.

He said some of the measures in place to tame insecurity include the modernisation of the Armed Forces, intelligence‑driven policing and joint operations, border security, and technology‑enabled surveillance and community‑based peacebuilding and conflict prevention.

“We will invest in security with clear accountability for outcomes—because security spending must deliver security results,” the president said.

“To secure our country, our priority will remain on increasing the fighting capability of our armed forces and other security agencies by boosting personnel and procuring cutting-edge platforms and other hardware,” he added.

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Economy

PenCom Extends Deadline for Pension Recapitalisation to June 2027

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Pension Recapitalisation

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The deadline for the recapitalisation of the Nigerian pension industry has been extended by six months to June 2027 from December 2026.

This extension was approved by the National Pension Commission (PenCom), the agency, which regulates the sector in the country.

Addressing newsmen on Thursday in Lagos, the Director-General of PenCom, Ms Omolola Oloworaran, explained that the shift in deadline was to give operators more time to boost the capital base, dismissing speculations that the exercise had been suspended.

“The recapitalisation has not been suspended. We have communicated the requirements to the Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs), and we expect every operator to be compliant by June 2027. Anyone who is not compliant by then will lose their licence,” Ms Oloworaran told journalists.

She added that, “From a regulatory standpoint, our major challenge is ensuring compliance. We are working with ICPC, labour and the TUC to ensure employers remit pension contributions for their employees.”

The DG noted that engagements with industry operators indicated broad acceptance of the policy, with many PFAs already taking steps to raise additional capital or explore mergers and acquisitions.

“You may see some mergers and acquisitions in the industry, but what is clear is that the recapitalisation exercise is on track and the industry agrees with us,” she stated.

PenCom wants the PFAs to increase their capital base and has created three categories, with the first consists operators with Assets Under Management of N500 billion and above. They are expected to have a minimum capital of N20 billion and one per cent of AUM above N500 billion.

The second category has PFAs with AUM below N500 billion, which must have at least N20 billion as capital base.

The last segment comprises special-purpose PFAs such as NPF Pensions Limited, whose minimum capital was pegged at N30 billion, and the Nigerian University Pension Management Company Limited, whose minimum capital was fixed at N20 billion.

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Economy

Three Securities Sink NASD Exchange by 0.68%

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NASD securities exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

Three securities weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.68 per cent on Thursday, December 18.

According to data, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc led the losers’ group after it slipped by N2.87 to N36.78 per share from N39.65 per share, Golden Capital Plc depreciated by 77 Kobo to end at N6.98 per unit versus the previous day’s N7.77 per unit, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc dropped 19 Kobo to sell at N60.00 per share versus Wednesday’s closing price of N60.19 per share.

At the close of business, the market capitalisation lost N16.81 billion to finish at N2.147 billion compared with the preceding session’s N2.164 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) declined by 24.76 points to 3,589.88 points from 3,614.64 points.

Yesterday, the volume of securities bought and sold increased by 49.3 per cent to 30.5 million units from 20.4 million units, the value of securities surged by 211.8 per cent to N225.1 million from N72.2 million, and the number of deals jumped by 33.3 per cent to 28 deals from 21 deals.

Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company (InfraCredit) Plc remained the most traded stock by value with a year-to-date sale of 5.8 billion units valued at N16.4 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 178.9 million units transacted for N9.5 billion, and MRS Oil Plc with 36.1 million units worth N4.9 billion.

Similarly, InfraCredit Plc ended as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units traded for N16.4 billion, trailed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 1.2 billion units sold for N420.7 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 536.9 million units exchanged for N524.9 million.

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