Economy
GCR Accords Financial Strength BB+(NG) Rating to Niger Insurance

By Modupe Gbadeyanka
Global Credit Ratings has accorded a financial strength rating to Niger Insurance Plc at BB+(NG), with the rating outlook accorded as Stable. The rating is valid until May 2018.
A statement by the rating firm explained that Niger Insurance is a known brand in the Nigerian Insurance industry with long track record spanning over five decades.
It said the firm is a mid-sized player based on its estimated consolidated market share of 3%, measured by industry gross written premiums (GWP) in FY15.
However, a substantial reduction in long term premiums in FY16 (N3.9bn, FY15: N7.9bn) saw the market share declining to a review period low; thus, impacting on the insurer’s competitive position. Going forward, management intends to regain market share over the short to medium term, through relationship maintenance and business diversification.
Niger Insurance’s consolidated cash and equivalents declined to an all-time low of N225m in FY16 (FY15: N845m, FY14: N1.6bn), due to reduced operational inflows.
This is considered to be a very low level of liquidity and a key rating consideration. Cash coverage of average monthly claims and technical liabilities of the short term business stood at 4 months and 0.1x in FY16 (FY15: 10 months and 0.3x, peer average: 28 months and 0.7x) respectively.
Furthermore, updated performance as at 1Q FY17 reflects a further decline in liquidity profile, thus constituting a major constrain to the rating.
Asset liability matching reflects a significant mismatch, given the elevated exposure to long term financial assets. In this respect, investment property measured at a very high 149% of capital at FY16 (FY15: 161%; FY14: 183%), representing a material risk and a key rating consideration. Although, management has indicated plans to diversify and balance its portfolio with increased weighting towards more liquid assets.
The insurer’s capitalisation position is considered moderate, given a healthy ratio of shareholders’ funds to net premium earned (NPE) equated to 168% at FY15 (peer group average: 213%) and 196% at FY16 (unaudited results). The statutory solvency coverage was recorded at 2.0x and 1.4x for the long and short term businesses respectively. Furthermore, shareholders’ funds to policyholders’ liabilities stood at 0.7x coverage at FY16 (FY15: 0.6x).
Management has informed GCR of its plan to seek equity investment from foreign investors. While this is expected to be realised over the short to medium term, it is still very much at a preliminary stage.
Earnings capacity is limited, underpinned by weak and volatile operating profitability. In this respect, the five year aggregate operating margin equated to 11% (FY16: 30%; FY15: 8%). Excluding unrealised income, the five year aggregate operating margin equates to a lower 4% (FY15: 2%).
In GCR’s opinion, earnings capacity is likely to remain limited over the rating horizon, with persistent variability.
The reinsurance counterparties are mid rated entities. The maximum deductible per risk and event amounts to USD1m (which equates to 8% of capital at FY16 average exchange rate).
While the rating may be reviewed upward following a significant improvement in liquidity metrics.
This would need to be supported by risk adjusted capitalisation registering at sound levels and/ or strengthening in earnings capacity.
However, the rating may be adjusted downward should liquidity remain at extremely low levels.
Furthermore, a decline in earnings capacity and /or a reduction in capitalisation may lead to downward rating action.
Economy
Tinubu Presents N58.47trn Budget for 2026 to National Assembly
By Adedapo Adesanya
President Bola Tinubu on Friday presented a budget proposal of N58.47 trillion for the 2026 fiscal year titled Budget of Consolidation, Renewed Resilience and Shared Prosperity to a joint session of the National Assembly, with capital recurrent (non‑debt) expenditure standing at 15.25 trillion, and the capital expenditure at N26.08 trillion, while the crude oil benchmark was pegged at $64.85 per barrel.
Business Post reports that the Brent crude grade currently trades around $60 per barrel. It is also expected to trade at that level or lower next year over worries about oil glut.
At the budget presentation today, Mr Tinubu said the expected total revenue for the year is N34.33 trillion, and the proposal is anchored on a crude oil production of 1.84 million barrels per day, and an exchange rate of N1,400 to the US Dollar.
In terms of sectoral allocation, defence and security took the lion’s share with N5.41 trillion, followed by infrastructure at N3.56 trillion, education received N3.52 trillion, while health received N2.48 trillion.
Addressing the lawmakers, the President described the budget proposal as not “just accounting lines”.
“They are a statement of national priorities,” the president told the gathering. “We remain firmly committed to fiscal sustainability, debt transparency, and value‑for‑money spending.”
The presentation came at a time of heightened insecurity in parts of the country, with mass abductions and other crimes making headlines.
Outlining his government’s plan to address the challenge, President Tinubu reminded the gathering that security “remains the foundation of development”.
He said some of the measures in place to tame insecurity include the modernisation of the Armed Forces, intelligence‑driven policing and joint operations, border security, and technology‑enabled surveillance and community‑based peacebuilding and conflict prevention.
“We will invest in security with clear accountability for outcomes—because security spending must deliver security results,” the president said.
“To secure our country, our priority will remain on increasing the fighting capability of our armed forces and other security agencies by boosting personnel and procuring cutting-edge platforms and other hardware,” he added.
Economy
PenCom Extends Deadline for Pension Recapitalisation to June 2027
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The deadline for the recapitalisation of the Nigerian pension industry has been extended by six months to June 2027 from December 2026.
This extension was approved by the National Pension Commission (PenCom), the agency, which regulates the sector in the country.
Addressing newsmen on Thursday in Lagos, the Director-General of PenCom, Ms Omolola Oloworaran, explained that the shift in deadline was to give operators more time to boost the capital base, dismissing speculations that the exercise had been suspended.
“The recapitalisation has not been suspended. We have communicated the requirements to the Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs), and we expect every operator to be compliant by June 2027. Anyone who is not compliant by then will lose their licence,” Ms Oloworaran told journalists.
She added that, “From a regulatory standpoint, our major challenge is ensuring compliance. We are working with ICPC, labour and the TUC to ensure employers remit pension contributions for their employees.”
The DG noted that engagements with industry operators indicated broad acceptance of the policy, with many PFAs already taking steps to raise additional capital or explore mergers and acquisitions.
“You may see some mergers and acquisitions in the industry, but what is clear is that the recapitalisation exercise is on track and the industry agrees with us,” she stated.
PenCom wants the PFAs to increase their capital base and has created three categories, with the first consists operators with Assets Under Management of N500 billion and above. They are expected to have a minimum capital of N20 billion and one per cent of AUM above N500 billion.
The second category has PFAs with AUM below N500 billion, which must have at least N20 billion as capital base.
The last segment comprises special-purpose PFAs such as NPF Pensions Limited, whose minimum capital was pegged at N30 billion, and the Nigerian University Pension Management Company Limited, whose minimum capital was fixed at N20 billion.
Economy
Three Securities Sink NASD Exchange by 0.68%
By Adedapo Adesanya
Three securities weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.68 per cent on Thursday, December 18.
According to data, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc led the losers’ group after it slipped by N2.87 to N36.78 per share from N39.65 per share, Golden Capital Plc depreciated by 77 Kobo to end at N6.98 per unit versus the previous day’s N7.77 per unit, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc dropped 19 Kobo to sell at N60.00 per share versus Wednesday’s closing price of N60.19 per share.
At the close of business, the market capitalisation lost N16.81 billion to finish at N2.147 billion compared with the preceding session’s N2.164 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) declined by 24.76 points to 3,589.88 points from 3,614.64 points.
Yesterday, the volume of securities bought and sold increased by 49.3 per cent to 30.5 million units from 20.4 million units, the value of securities surged by 211.8 per cent to N225.1 million from N72.2 million, and the number of deals jumped by 33.3 per cent to 28 deals from 21 deals.
Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company (InfraCredit) Plc remained the most traded stock by value with a year-to-date sale of 5.8 billion units valued at N16.4 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 178.9 million units transacted for N9.5 billion, and MRS Oil Plc with 36.1 million units worth N4.9 billion.
Similarly, InfraCredit Plc ended as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units traded for N16.4 billion, trailed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 1.2 billion units sold for N420.7 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 536.9 million units exchanged for N524.9 million.
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