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Economy

January Inflation to Hit 18.64% Amid Rising Food Costs—FSDH

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Inflation Rate

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

A latest report released by FSDH Research has predicted a rise in Nigeria’s inflation rate for the month of January.

In its inflation watch released on Thursday, FSDH stated that it expects the “January 2017 inflation rate (year-on-year) to increase further to 18.64 percent from 18.55 percent recorded in the month of December 2016.”

Explaining reason for the expected rise, the report said it is due to “increase in the prices of food items and other non-food items as a result of the continued pressure on the value of the Naira.”

It further noted that the “increase in the price of diesel which is predominantly used in production of goods and services will also contribute to the rising inflation rate.”

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is expected to release the inflation rate for the month of January 2017 on February 15, 2017 based on data calendar on its website.

According to the monthly Food Price Index (FPI) released by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) this week, the Index averaged 173.8 points, 2.15 percent higher than the revised value for December 2016, and 16.41 percent higher than the January 2016 figure.

At its current level, the Index has reached its highest value since February 2015.

Last month’s increase reflected sharp increases in the prices of sugar, cereals and vegetable oils. The Sugar Price Index rebounded sharply by 9.9 percent in January on the heels of reports of low production conditions in the main sugar producing regions of Brazil, India and Thailand.

The FAO Cereal Price Index increased by 3.37 percent from the previous month and represents a six-month high. The increase recorded was due to the rise in the prices of wheat, maize and rice, with wheat reflecting the highest increase amid concerns over unfavourable weather conditions.

The FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index was up 1.82 percent, driven by palm oil prices, reflecting concerns over supply tightness in Southeast Asia.

The FAO Dairy Index appreciated marginally by 0.20 percent from December 2016, prices of dairy products remained relatively stable across the board. The FAO Meat Price Index was marginally down by 0.06 percent.

According to the analysis of FSDH, the value of the Naira depreciated at both the inter-bank and the parallel market.

The value of the Naira lost marginally by 0.08 percent at the inter-bank market to close at $/N305.25 while it lost 2.09 percent at the parallel market to close at $/N491 at the end of January.

The depreciation recorded in the foreign exchange rate particularly in the parallel market between the two months and higher prices in the international market put further pressure on domestic prices in January 2017.

The prices of food items that FSDH Research monitored in January 2016 moved in varying directions. The prices of garri and tomatoes were up by 7.14 percent and 2.78 percent respectively; meanwhile, the prices of palm oil and fish were down by 7.14 percent and 2.08 percent respectively.

The prices of most other food items remained unchanged. The movement in the prices of food items during the month resulted in a 0.96 percent increase in the Food and Non-Alcoholic Index to 219.72 points, while it increases in the prices of Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas &Other Fuels divisions between December 2016 and January 2017.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

LIRS Urges Taxpayers to File Annual Returns Ahead of Deadline

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Lagos taxpayers

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

All individual taxpayers in Lagos State have been advised to file their annual tax returns ahead of the March 31 deadline.

This appeal was made by the Lagos State Internal Revenue Service (LIRS) in a statement issued by its Head of Corporate Communications, Mrs Monsurat Amasa-Oyelude.

The notice quoted the chairman of LIRS, Mr Ayodele Subair, as saying that timely filing remains both a constitutional and statutory obligation as well as a civic responsibility.

The statutory filing requirement applies to all taxable persons, including self-employed individuals, business owners, professionals, persons in the informal sector, and employees under the Pay-As-You-Earn (PAYE) scheme.

In accordance with Section 24(f) of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, Sections 13 &14(3) of the Nigeria Tax Administration Act 2025 (NTAA), every individual with taxable income is required to submit a true and correct return of total income from all sources for the preceding year (January 1 to December 31, 2025) within 90 days of the commencement of a new assessment year.

“Filing of annual tax returns is not optional. It is a legal requirement under the Nigeria Tax Administration Act 2025. We encourage all Lagos residents earning taxable income to file early and accurately.

“Early and accurate filing not only ensures full adherence with statutory requirements, but supports effective monitoring and forecasting, which are critical to Lagos State’s fiscal planning and long-term sustainability,” Mr Subair stated.

He further noted that failure to file returns by the statutory deadline attracts administrative penalties, interest, and other enforcement measures as prescribed by law.

To enhance convenience and efficiency, all individual tax returns must be submitted electronically via the LIRS eTax portal at https://etax.lirs.net. The platform enables taxpayers to register, file returns, upload supporting documents, and manage their tax profiles securely from anywhere.

In keeping with global best practices, Mr Subair reiterated that LIRS continues to prioritise digital tax administration and taxpayer support services. He affirmed that the LIRS eTax platform is secure and accessible worldwide. Taxpayers requiring assistance may visit any of the LIRS offices or other channels.

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Economy

NNPC Targets 230% LPG Supply Surge to 5MTPA Under Gas Master Plan 2026

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Domestic LPG

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has said the Gas Master Plan 2026 targets over 230 per cent scale-up of Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) supply from 1.5 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) to 5 MTPA this year.

The Executive Vice President for Gas, Power and New Energy at NNPC, Mr Olalekan Ogunleye, unveiled the strategic direction of the NNPC Gas Master Plan 2026, outlining an aggressive expansion drive to position Nigeria as a regional and global gas powerhouse.

Mr Ogunleye delivered the keynote address at the 2026 Lagos Energy Week, organised by the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE), where he detailed plans to accelerate gas development, deepen infrastructure and significantly scale domestic supply.

According to him, the Gas Master Plan targets a scale-up of LPG or cooking gas supply from 1.5 MTPA to 5 MTPA, alongside expanded feedstock for Mini-LNG and Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) projects.

“The NNPC Gas Master Plan 2026 is a blueprint to unlock Nigeria’s vast gas potential and translate it into tangible economic value,” Mr Ogunleye said.

He added that the strategy would also drive exponential growth in Gas-Based Industries, GBIs, strengthening local manufacturing, fertiliser production and power generation.

“Our renewed focus is on turning abundant gas resources into inclusive economic growth and improved quality of life for Nigerians,” he stated.

Mr Ogunleye said the plan aligns with the Federal Government’s Decade of Gas initiative and the presidential production targets of achieving 10 billion cubic feet per day by 2027 and 12 BCF/D by 2030.

Industry leaders at the event, including executives from Chevron Corporation, Esso Exploration and Production Nigeria Limited, Midwestern Oil and Gas Company Limited, Abuja Gas Processing Company and Shell Nigeria Gas, commended the plan and praised Ogunleye’s leadership in driving implementation excellence.

The new blueprint signals NNPC’s determination to anchor Nigeria’s energy transition on gas, leveraging infrastructure expansion and domestic utilisation to consolidate the country’s status as Africa’s largest gas reserve holder.

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Economy

Shettima Blames CBN’s FX Intervention for Naira Depreciation

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Kashim Shettima

By Adedapo Adesanya

Vice President Kashim Shettima has attributed the Naira’s recent depreciation to the intervention of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in the foreign exchange (FX) market, stating that the currency could have strengthened to around N1,000 per Dollar within weeks if the apex bank had allowed market forces to prevail.

The local currency has dropped over N8.37 on the Dollar in the last week, as it closed at N1,355.37/$1 on Tuesday at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM), after it went on a spree late last month and into the early weeks of February.

However, speaking on Tuesday at the Progressive Governors’ Forum (PGF), Renewed Hope Ambassadors Strategic Summit in Abuja, the Nigerian VP said the intervention was to ensure stability.

“In fact, if not for the interventions by the Central Bank of Nigeria yesterday, the 1,000 Naira to a Dollar we are going to attain in weeks, not in months. But for the purpose of market stability, the CBN generously intervened yesterday.

“So, for some of my friends, especially one of our party leaders who takes delight in stockpiling dollars, it is a wake-up call,” the vice president said.

He was alluding to CBN buying US Dollars from the market to slow down the rapid rise of the Naira.

Latest information showed that last week, the apex bank bought about $189.80 million to reduce excess Dollar supply and control how fast the Naira was gaining value.

The move was aimed at preventing foreign portfolio investors from exiting Nigeria’s fixed-income market, as large-scale sell-offs could heighten demand for US Dollars, intensify capital flight, and exert further pressure on the exchange rate.

Amid this, speaking after the 304th meeting of the monetary policy committee (MPC) of the CBN on Tuesday, Governor of the central bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, said Nigeria’s gross external reserves have risen to $50.45 billion, the highest level in 13 years.

This strengthens the country’s foreign exchange buffers, enhances the apex bank’s capacity to defend the Naira when needed, and boosts investor confidence in the stability of the Nigerian FX market.

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